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Luxembourg · 1. Division · National Division

23 May 2026 14:00 UTC

UNION TITUS PETANGE vs SWIFT HESPERANGE

Final 2:3

Swift Hesperange won Last goal: Swift Hesperange

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Yanis Bouazzati (straight red) — Swift Hesperange
  2. ⚽ Dalil Ali — Union Titus Petange
  3. ⚽ Francisco Ninte — Swift Hesperange

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jerry Prempeh — Swift Hesperange
  2. ⚽ Frederic Sanduco — Union Titus Petange
  3. ⚽ Hereba Savane — Swift Hesperange

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Union Titus Petange
90-minute result: Swift Hesperange
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 226 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
175 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
83 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
43 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
95 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
160 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview