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Luxembourg · 1. Division · National Division

23 May 2026 14:00 UTC

FC PROGRES NIEDERKORN vs F91 DUDELANGE

Final 2:4

F91 Dudelange won Last goal: F91 Dudelange

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ibrahim Baradji — FC Progres Niederkorn

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ivan Englaro — F91 Dudelange
  2. ⚽ Mathis Camara — FC Progres Niederkorn
  3. ⚽ Ivan Englaro — F91 Dudelange
  4. ⚽ Dinho — F91 Dudelange
  5. 🟥 Vincent Peugnet (2nd yellow) — FC Progres Niederkorn
  6. ⚽ Tudor Neamtiu — F91 Dudelange

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
F91 Dudelange
90-minute result: F91 Dudelange
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 226 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
175 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
143 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
183 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
160 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview