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Indonesia · Super Liga · Super League

23 May 2026 09:00 UTC

PERSEBAYA SURABAYA vs PERSIK

Final 5:0

Persebaya Surabaya won Last goal: Persebaya Surabaya

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Malik Risaldi — Persebaya Surabaya
  2. Bruno — Persebaya Surabaya

2nd half

  1. Gustavo Fernandes — Persebaya Surabaya
  2. Bruno Paraiba — Persebaya Surabaya
  3. Bruno — Persebaya Surabaya

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 298 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 291 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
200 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
157 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
214 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
272 predictions

Match overview