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Indonesia · Super Liga · Super League

22 May 2026 08:30 UTC

AREMA vs PSIM YOGYAKARTA

Final 3:1

Arema won Last goal: Arema

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joel Vinicius — Arema

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dalberto — Arema
  2. ⚽ Deri Corfe — PSIM Yogyakarta
  3. ⚽ Valdeci — Arema

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Arema
90-minute result: Arema
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 78% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 296 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
198 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
212 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
18 predictions

Match overview