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Saudi Arabia · Pro League · Saudi Pro League

21 May 2026 18:00 UTC

AL NASSR FC vs DAMAC FC

Final 4:1

Al Nassr FC won Last goal: Al Nassr FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sadio Mané — Al Nassr FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kingsley Coman — Al Nassr FC
  2. ⚽ Morlaye Sylla (penalty) — Damac FC
  3. ⚽ Cristiano Ronaldo — Al Nassr FC
  4. ⚽ Cristiano Ronaldo — Al Nassr FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Al Nassr FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 302 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 284 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
164 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
223 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
125 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
208 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
251 predictions

Match overview