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Saudi Arabia · Pro League · Saudi Pro League

20 May 2026 18:00 UTC

AL NAJMA vs AL SHABAB

Final 1:0

Al Najma won Last goal: Al Shabab

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lázaro (penalty) — Al Najma

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Al Shabab
90-minute result: Al Najma
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
18%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 282 completed matches.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 58% (Good)
224 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
162 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
221 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
206 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
249 predictions

Match overview