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Denmark · Superliga · Superligaen Championship Playoff

17 May 2026 16:00 UTC

AGF vs VIBORG

Final 6:2

AGF won Last goal: AGF

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Frederik Emmery — AGF
  2. Patrick Mortensen — AGF
  3. Thomas Joergensen — Viborg
  4. Gift Links — AGF

2nd half

  1. Sebastian Joergensen — AGF
  2. Tomas Kristjansson — AGF
  3. Tomas Kristjansson — AGF
  4. Lukas Kirkegaard — Viborg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 6:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 183 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 183 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
137 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
126 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
156 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
113 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
110 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
151 predictions

Match overview