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Netherlands · Eredivisie Promotion Playoff · Eredivisie - Qualification

20 May 2026 16:45 UTC

WILLEM II vs FC VOLENDAM

Final 1:2

FC Volendam won Last goal: Willem II

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bilal Ould-Chikh — FC Volendam
  2. ⚽ Henk Veerman — FC Volendam

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nick Doodeman — Willem II

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Willem II
90-minute result: FC Volendam
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 36% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 14 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 9 completed matches.

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 13% (Weak)
8 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
5 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
8 predictions
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
3 predictions
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
4 predictions
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
7 predictions

Match overview