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Netherlands · Eredivisie Promotion Playoff · Eredivisie - Qualification

13 May 2026 18:00 UTC

ALMERE CITY FC vs WILLEM II

Final 0:1

Willem II won Last goal: Willem II

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Samuel Bamba — Willem II

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Almere City FC
90-minute result: Willem II
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 42% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 12 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 7 completed matches.

1X2 14% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 80% (Strong)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 14% (Weak)
7 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
4 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
6 predictions
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
2 predictions
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
3 predictions
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
5 predictions

Match overview