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Czech Republic · Cup

20 May 2026 16:00 UTC

JABLONEC vs KARVINA

Final 1:3

Karvina won Last goal: Karvina

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lamin Jawo (penalty) — Jablonec
  2. ⚽ Ousmane Conde — Karvina

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kahuan Vinicius — Karvina
  2. 🟥 Ebrima Singhateh (straight red) — Jablonec
  3. ⚽ Kahuan Vinicius — Karvina

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
56%
1X2
Jablonec
90-minute result: Karvina
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
5:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 54 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 50 completed matches.

1X2 59% (Good)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 9 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 59% (Good)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
20 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
37 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
24 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
15 predictions
Total 4.5 29% (Weak)
7 predictions

Match overview