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Czech Republic · Cup

21 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

JABLONEC vs MLADA BOLESLAV

Final 1:0

Jablonec won Last goal: Jablonec

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lamin Jawo — Jablonec

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Jablonec
90-minute result: Jablonec
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 52 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 48 completed matches.

1X2 57% (Good)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 17% (Weak)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 17% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 57% (Good)
35 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
19 predictions
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
35 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
22 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
13 predictions
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
42 predictions

Match overview