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China · Super League

19 May 2026 12:00 UTC

QINGDAO WEST COAST vs BEIJING GUOAN

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Beijing Guoan

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Rezende (straight red) — Qingdao West Coast
  2. ⚽ Davidson — Qingdao West Coast
  3. ⚽ Lin Liangming — Beijing Guoan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 75 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 240 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 203 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
55 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
123 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
95 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
143 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
173 predictions

Match overview