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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

17 May 2026 17:30 UTC

KEFLAVIK vs STJARNAN

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Stjarnan

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Muhamed Alghoul — Keflavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andri Bjarnason — Stjarnan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Stjarnan
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
66%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
69%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 132 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 110 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 24 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
Total 4.5 46% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
88 predictions
Both teams to score 73% (Strong)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 34% (Weak)
41 predictions
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
92 predictions

Match overview