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Indonesia · Super Liga · Super League

17 May 2026 12:00 UTC

PSIM YOGYAKARTA vs MADURA UNITED

Final 2:1

PSIM Yogyakarta won Last goal: Madura United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ezequiel Vidal — PSIM Yogyakarta
  2. ⚽ Muhammad Iqbal — PSIM Yogyakarta

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Júnior Brandão — Madura United
  2. 🟥 Donny Warmerdam (2nd yellow) — PSIM Yogyakarta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: PSIM Yogyakarta
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 102 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 292 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 285 completed matches.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 20% (Weak)
90 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
225 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
268 predictions

Match overview