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Indonesia · Super Liga · Super League

15 May 2026 08:30 UTC

SEMEN PADANG vs PERSEBAYA SURABAYA

Final 0:7

Persebaya Surabaya won Last goal: Persebaya Surabaya

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Francisco Rivera — Persebaya Surabaya
  2. ⚽ Arief Catur — Persebaya Surabaya

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bruno — Persebaya Surabaya
  2. 🟥 Ade Kristiano (straight red) — Semen Padang
  3. ⚽ Mihailo Perovic — Persebaya Surabaya
  4. ⚽ Bruno Paraiba (penalty) — Persebaya Surabaya
  5. ⚽ Bruno Paraiba — Persebaya Surabaya
  6. ⚽ Bruno Paraiba — Persebaya Surabaya

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Persebaya Surabaya
90-minute result: Persebaya Surabaya
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:7

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 287 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 280 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
191 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
221 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
264 predictions

Match overview