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Uruguay · Segunda Division

16 May 2026 19:00 UTC

COLON vs PLAZA COLONIA

Final 0:1

Plaza Colonia won Last goal: Plaza Colonia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pablo García — Plaza Colonia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Plaza Colonia
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 152 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 29 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
32 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
66 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
99 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
142 predictions

Match overview