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Uruguay · Segunda Division

16 May 2026 13:00 UTC

URUGUAY MONTEVIDEO vs CERRITO

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Uruguay Montevideo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luis Machado — Cerrito

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luis Machado — Cerrito
  2. ⚽ Maximiliano Lombardi — Uruguay Montevideo
  3. ⚽ Maximiliano Lombardi — Uruguay Montevideo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 152 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
32 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
86 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
53 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
142 predictions

Match overview