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Scotland · Championship Qualification

16 May 2026 16:30 UTC

STENHOUSEMUIR vs ALLOA ATHLETIC

Final 0:1

Alloa Athletic won Last goal: Alloa Athletic

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cameron O'Donnell — Alloa Athletic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Stenhousemuir
90-minute result: Alloa Athletic
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 50% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 6 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 5 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
5 predictions
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
4 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
5 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
5 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
4 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
1 predictions

Match overview