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Scotland · Championship Qualification

13 May 2026 18:45 UTC

ALLOA ATHLETIC vs STENHOUSEMUIR

Final 1:3

Stenhousemuir won Last goal: Alloa Athletic

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ross Taylor — Stenhousemuir
  2. ⚽ Dean Aitken (penalty) — Stenhousemuir

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Michael Anderson — Stenhousemuir
  2. ⚽ Calum Waters — Alloa Athletic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Stenhousemuir
90-minute result: Stenhousemuir
As expected
53%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 60% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 5 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 4 completed matches.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 25% (Weak)
4 predictions
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
4 predictions
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
4 predictions
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
3 predictions
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
3 predictions

Match overview