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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League ECL Group

16 May 2026 16:00 UTC

BOTEV PLOVDIV vs CHERNO MORE VARNA

Final 5:0

Botev Plovdiv won Last goal: Botev Plovdiv

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Simeon Petrov — Botev Plovdiv

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Franklin Chagas — Botev Plovdiv
  2. ⚽ Enock Kwateng — Botev Plovdiv
  3. ⚽ Nikola Iliev — Botev Plovdiv
  4. ⚽ Samuil Tsonov — Botev Plovdiv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
51%
1X2
Botev Plovdiv
90-minute result: Botev Plovdiv
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 81 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 272 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 273 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
196 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
163 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
226 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
260 predictions

Match overview