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France · Division 1 Feminine · Premiere Ligue Final Stage

16 May 2026 19:00 UTC

PARIS FC vs PARIS SAINT GERMAIN

Final 1:0

Paris FC won Last goal: Paris FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Hawa Sangare — Paris FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 76% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 132 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 132 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
100 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
59 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
103 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
99 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
122 predictions

Match overview