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France · Division 1 Feminine · Premiere Ligue

06 May 2026 15:00 UTC

MARSEILLE vs DIJON FOOT

Final 0:1

Dijon Foot won Last goal: Dijon Foot

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gabriela Grzybowska — Dijon Foot

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Sarah Compaore (2nd yellow) — Marseille

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Dijon Foot
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 11% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 126 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 126 completed matches.

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 13% (Weak)
31 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
98 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
57 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
95 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
116 predictions

Match overview