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Hungary · NB I

16 May 2026 15:15 UTC

DEBRECEN vs UJPEST

Final 2:1

Debrecen won Last goal: Ujpest

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Josua Mejías — Debrecen
  2. ⚽ Dominik Kocsis — Debrecen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aljosa Matko (penalty) — Ujpest

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Debrecen
90-minute result: Debrecen
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
18%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 195 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 191 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
130 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
179 predictions

Match overview