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Hungary · NB I

15 May 2026 18:00 UTC

PUSKAS FC ACADEMY vs MTK BUDAPEST

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Puskas FC Academy

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ádin Molnár — MTK Budapest
  2. ⚽ Joel Fameyeh — Puskas FC Academy
  3. ⚽ Zalán Kerezsi — MTK Budapest
  4. ⚽ Dániel Lukács (penalty) — Puskas FC Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Puskas FC Academy
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
128 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
37 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
95 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
177 predictions

Match overview