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Czech Republic · Gambrinus League · 1. Liga Placement Matches

16 May 2026 15:00 UTC

KARVINA vs SIGMA OLOMOUC

Final 1:3 Almanac Moment

Sigma Olomouc won Last goal: Sigma Olomouc

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Albert Labík — Karvina
  2. ⚽ Antonín Rusek — Sigma Olomouc

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Louis Lurvink — Sigma Olomouc
  2. ⚽ Matej Mikulenka — Sigma Olomouc

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Sigma Olomouc
90-minute result: Sigma Olomouc
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 259 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 257 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
186 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
143 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
239 predictions

Match overview