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Czech Republic · Gambrinus League · 1. Liga Relegation Group

16 May 2026 15:00 UTC

TEPLICE vs DUKLA PRAHA

Final 2:0

Teplice won Last goal: Teplice

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Kevin-Prince Milla (straight red) — Dukla Praha
  2. ⚽ Jan Fortelny — Teplice
  3. 🟥 Eric Hunál (straight red) — Dukla Praha
  4. ⚽ Idris Hopi — Teplice

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Teplice
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 80 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 259 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 257 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
143 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
239 predictions

Match overview