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Turkey · Super Lig

16 May 2026 17:00 UTC

SAMSUNSPOR vs GOZTEPE

Final 3:0

Samsunspor won Last goal: Samsunspor

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tanguy Coulibaly · assist Marius Mouandilmadji — Samsunspor

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Héliton (straight red) — Goztepe
  2. ⚽ Elayis Tavsan · assist Marius Mouandilmadji — Samsunspor
  3. ⚽ Marius Mouandilmadji · assist Elayis Tavsan — Samsunspor

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
Favorite
29%
1X2
Samsunspor
90-minute result: Samsunspor
Nice call
49%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 295 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 293 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
214 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
237 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
159 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
216 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
261 predictions

Match overview