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Turkey · Super Lig

15 May 2026 17:00 UTC

RIZESPOR vs BESIKTAS

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Rizespor

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ali Sowe · assist Modibo Sagnan — Rizespor
  2. ⚽ Ali Sowe · assist Adedire Mebude — Rizespor

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jota Silva · assist Orkun Kökçü — Besiktas
  2. ⚽ Václav Cerny · assist Junior Olaïtan — Besiktas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
Favorite
29%
1X2
Besiktas
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
72%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
61%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
87%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 294 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 292 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
213 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
164 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
236 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
260 predictions

Match overview