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Bulgaria · B PFG · Second Professional League

15 May 2026 15:00 UTC

ETAR vs LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD II

Final 1:0

Etar won Last goal: Etar

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ivaylo Markov (penalty) — Etar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Etar
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 94 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
185 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
156 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
231 predictions

Match overview