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Bulgaria · B PFG · Second Professional League

15 May 2026 15:00 UTC

BELASITSA PETRICH vs FRATRIA

Final 0:3

Fratria won Last goal: Fratria

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Valentin Yoskov — Fratria
  2. Vadim Dijinari — Fratria

2nd half

  1. Denis Kadir — Fratria

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 94 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
182 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
120 predictions
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
156 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
231 predictions

Match overview