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Austria · Erste Liga · 2. Liga

14 May 2026 15:00 UTC

AUSTRIA LUSTENAU vs SKU AMSTETTEN

Final 2:1

Austria Lustenau won Last goal: Austria Lustenau

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Jack Lahne — Austria Lustenau

2nd half

  1. Niklas Pertlwieser — SKU Amstetten
  2. Sacha Delaye (penalty) — Austria Lustenau

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 223 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 216 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 32 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
168 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
193 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
89 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview