← Back to matches

Austria · Erste Liga · 2. Liga

08 May 2026 16:00 UTC

SPG HOGO WELS vs STURM GRAZ II

Final 2:0

SPG HOGO Wels won Last goal: SPG HOGO Wels

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sebastian Malinowski — SPG HOGO Wels
  2. ⚽ Albin Gashi — SPG HOGO Wels

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: SPG HOGO Wels
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
47 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
142 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
182 predictions

Match overview