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Belgium · Cup

14 May 2026 13:00 UTC

UNION ST.GILLOISE vs ANDERLECHT

Final 3:1 Almanac Moment

Union St.Gilloise advanced Last goal: Anderlecht

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Mac Allister — Union St.Gilloise
  2. ⚽ Mihajlo Cvetkovic — Anderlecht

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Mohammed Fuseini — Union St.Gilloise
  2. ⚽ Kevin Rodríguez — Union St.Gilloise

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Union St.Gilloise
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 10% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 32 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 32 completed matches.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 0% (Weak)
10 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
20 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
28 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
15 predictions
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
26 predictions

Match overview