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Belgium · Cup

11 Feb 2026 19:30 UTC

UNION ST.GILLOISE vs SPORTING CHARLEROI

Final 4:1

Union St.Gilloise won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Promise David — Union St.Gilloise
  2. ⚽ Aurélien Scheidler — Sporting Charleroi

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohammed Fuseini — Union St.Gilloise
  2. 🟥 Yacine Titraoui — Sporting Charleroi
  3. ⚽ Ross Sykes — Union St.Gilloise
  4. ⚽ Raul Florucz — Union St.Gilloise

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Union St.Gilloise
90-minute result: Union St.Gilloise
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
14%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 30 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 30 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 7 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
21 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
10 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
27 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
13 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
22 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
24 predictions

Match overview