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Iceland · Cup

13 May 2026 17:30 UTC

THROTTUR REYKJAVIK vs BREIDABLIK

Final 1:2

Breidablik won Last goal: Breidablik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Davíd Ingvarsson — Breidablik

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Viktor Margeirsson (straight red) — Breidablik
  2. ⚽ Kristófer Kristinsson — Breidablik
  3. ⚽ Sigurdur Lárusson — Throttur Reykjavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik
90-minute result: Breidablik
Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 7 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 2 completed matches.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 0% (Weak)
1 predictions
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
2 predictions
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
2 predictions
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
1 predictions
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
1 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
1 predictions

Match overview