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Greece · Super League · Super League Conference League Group

13 May 2026 14:00 UTC

NFC VOLOS vs ARIS THESSALONIKI FC

Final 1:2

Aris Thessaloniki FC won Last goal: Aris Thessaloniki FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martin Hongla — Aris Thessaloniki FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lazaros Lamprou — NFC Volos
  2. ⚽ Tino Kadewere — Aris Thessaloniki FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Aris Thessaloniki FC
90-minute result: Aris Thessaloniki FC
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 219 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
177 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
164 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
106 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 10% (Weak)
20 predictions

Match overview