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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League Championship Playoff

13 May 2026 17:15 UTC

LUDOGORETS RAZGRAD vs LEVSKI SOFIA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Ludogorets Razgrad

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Perea — Levski Sofia
  2. ⚽ Deroy Duarte — Ludogorets Razgrad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
Levski Sofia
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 266 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 267 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 64% (Good)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
191 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
107 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
222 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
254 predictions

Match overview