VASCO DA GAMA vs PAYSANDU
This match looks like a good opportunity based on the model's predictions.
Here's how the model reads the main markets:
- Match winner: 39%
- Both teams to score: 66%
- Total (2.5): 70%
Match timeline
1st half
- Johan Rojas (penalty) — Vasco da Gama
- Thiago Mendes — Vasco da Gama
- Thayllon — Paysandu
Model prediction
This pick follows expectations — this team is more likely to win.
The model won about 66.7% of similar picks in the past (18 matches).
Based on available data at the time of prediction.
Chance at least one team fails to score
Chance of 1 or fewer goals
Chance of 2 or fewer goals
Chance of 3 or fewer goals
Chance of 4 or fewer goals
Chance of this exact score
Model Context
Match prediction context
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 79 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 64 completed matches.
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 11 past matches
Small sample sizes may be less reliable.
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.