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Brazil · Cup

13 May 2026 00:30 UTC

FLUMINENSE vs OPERARIO FERROVIARIO

Final 2:1

Fluminense won Last goal: Operario Ferroviario

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jefferson Savarino (penalty) — Fluminense
  2. ⚽ Lucho Acosta — Fluminense

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Felipe Augusto — Operario Ferroviario
  2. 🟥 Edwin Torres (2nd yellow) — Operario Ferroviario

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Fluminense
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 17% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 79 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 64 completed matches.

1X2 12% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 9 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 22% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 12% (Weak)
17 predictions
Both teams to score 31% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
33 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
50 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
62 predictions

Match overview