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France · Ligue 1 Qualification

12 May 2026 18:30 UTC

RED STAR vs RODEZ

Final 2:3

Rodez won Last goal: Rodez

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Kévin Cabral — Red Star
  2. Ibrahima Baldé — Rodez

2nd half

  1. Josue Escartin — Red Star
  2. Mathis Magnin — Rodez
  3. Wilitty Younoussa — Rodez
  4. 🟥 Giovanni Haag (straight red) — Red Star

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
53%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
62%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
78%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 0% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)

Match overview