← Back to matches

France · Ligue 1 Qualification

17 May 2025 15:00 UTC

METZ vs DUNKERQUE

Final 1:0

Metz won Last goal: Metz

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Opa Sanganté (straight red) — Dunkerque
  2. Yacine Bammou (own goal) — Metz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
53%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
53%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
62%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
78%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)

Match overview