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Czech Republic · Gambrinus League · 1. Liga Relegation Group

12 May 2026 15:30 UTC

FC ZLIN vs TEPLICE

Final 2:4

Teplice won Last goal: Teplice

Match timeline

1st half

  1. David Machalik — FC Zlin
  2. Tomás Poznar — FC Zlin
  3. Daniel Marecek — Teplice

2nd half

  1. Matej Naprstek — Teplice
  2. 🟥 Benjamin Nyarko (straight red) — Teplice
  3. Matej Radosta — Teplice
  4. Matej Pulkrab — Teplice

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 253 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 251 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
141 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
114 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
233 predictions

Match overview