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Czech Republic · Gambrinus League · 1. Liga Relegation Group

12 May 2026 15:30 UTC

MLADA BOLESLAV vs DUKLA PRAHA

Final 1:2

Dukla Praha won Last goal: Mlada Boleslav

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kevin-Prince Milla — Dukla Praha

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dantaye Gilbert — Dukla Praha
  2. ⚽ Ondrej Karafiát — Mlada Boleslav

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Mlada Boleslav
90-minute result: Dukla Praha
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 253 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 251 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
180 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
110 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
233 predictions

Match overview