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England · Championship · Championship Playoff

11 May 2026 19:00 UTC

MILLWALL vs HULL

Final 0:2

Top match Hull won Last goal: Hull

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Belloumi · assist Matt Crooks — Hull
  2. ⚽ Joe Gelhardt · assist Mohamed Belloumi — Hull

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Millwall
90-minute result: Hull
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
5:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 552 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 544 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 89 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
385 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
303 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
404 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
248 predictions
Total 3.5 20% (Weak)
112 predictions
Total 4.5 4% (Weak)
48 predictions

Match overview