← Back to matches

Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

10 May 2026 19:00 UTC

ATLETICO GUEMES vs QUILMES

Final 2:1

Atletico Guemes won Last goal: Atletico Guemes

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Sánchez Sotelo — Atletico Guemes
  2. ⚽ Ian Franco Rasso — Quilmes
  3. ⚽ Thomas Amilivia (penalty) — Atletico Guemes

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Atletico Guemes
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 239 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 527 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 441 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 70% (Strong)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
134 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
150 predictions
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
244 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
320 predictions
Total 3.5 90% (Strong)
391 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
425 predictions

Match overview