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Nigeria · 1. Division

10 May 2026 15:00 UTC

KATSINA UNITED vs IKORODU CITY

Final 4:1

Katsina United won Last goal: Ikorodu City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jamilu Yusuf — Katsina United
  2. ⚽ Azeez Falolu (penalty) — Katsina United
  3. ⚽ Jamilu Yusuf — Katsina United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Agara — Katsina United
  2. ⚽ — — Ikorodu City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Katsina United
90-minute result: Katsina United
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 65% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 136 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 333 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 344 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 42% (Weak)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
242 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
216 predictions
Total 1.5 42% (Weak)
152 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
257 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
309 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
333 predictions

Match overview