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Nigeria · 1. Division

10 May 2026 15:00 UTC

SHOOTING STARS vs BARAU

Final 1:0

Shooting Stars won Last goal: Shooting Stars

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lucky Emmanuel — Shooting Stars

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Shooting Stars
90-minute result: Shooting Stars
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
As expected
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 65% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 136 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 333 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 344 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 68 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
242 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
128 predictions
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
87 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
309 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
333 predictions

Match overview