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Greece · Super League · Super League Conference League Group

10 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ARIS THESSALONIKI FC vs OFI CRETE

Final 3:1

Aris Thessaloniki FC won Last goal: OFI Crete

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Benjamín Garré — Aris Thessaloniki FC
  2. ⚽ Christian Kouamé — Aris Thessaloniki FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christian Kouamé — Aris Thessaloniki FC
  2. ⚽ Juan Ángel Neira — OFI Crete

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Aris Thessaloniki FC
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 209 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 212 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
38 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
157 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
103 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
192 predictions

Match overview