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Greece · Super League · Super League Relegation Group

09 May 2026 16:30 UTC

ATROMITOS vs PANETOLIKOS

Final 1:2

Panetolikos won Last goal: Panetolikos

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Steven Zuber — Atromitos

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alexandru Matan — Panetolikos
  2. ⚽ Juan Manuel García (penalty) — Panetolikos

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
39%
1X2
Atromitos
90-minute result: Panetolikos
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 206 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
171 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
156 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
102 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
163 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview