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Uruguay · Segunda Division

09 May 2026 13:00 UTC

LA LUZ vs COLON

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Colon
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 41 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 212 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 148 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 98% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
65 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
98 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
57 predictions
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
124 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
138 predictions

Match overview